Is Svalbard Putin’s Next Move? 'NATO Should Be Ready'

The Swedish security expert, Elisabeth Braw, is warning that Russia may have its eyes on Svalbard – and that NATO can’t afford to ignore the threat.

Cold and Remote – But Strategically Crucial

Svalbard may seem isolated and frozen, but it sits in a key Arctic location. According to expert Elisabeth Braw, Russia could use the archipelago as a testing ground for provocations against the West.

Russia’s Watchful Eye on Svalbard

Elisabeth Braw, writing in Politico, warns that Vladimir Putin and the Kremlin have been monitoring Svalbard for years – and may be preparing to act.

Moscow Accuses Norway of NATO Coordination

In March, Russia accused Norway of military and political planning on Svalbard together with the U.S. and NATO – calling it a violation of the Svalbard Treaty.

What Is the Svalbard Treaty?

Signed in 1920, the treaty gave Norway sovereignty over Svalbard but allows citizens and companies from other countries to live and work there.

Soviet Presence: From Pyramiden to Ghost Town

From 1927 to 1998, the Soviets – and later Russia – operated the mining town of Pyramiden on Svalbard. The town is now abandoned but remains symbolically important.

Soviet Flags Planted in 2024

In a provocative move, the head of Russian state-owned mining company Arktikugol planted two Soviet flags in Pyramiden in 2024, signaling renewed interest.

Russia Has Tested Limits Before

In 2015, a sanctioned Russian official visited Svalbard without Norway’s permission. In 2023, Russia held a military parade in Barentsburg – a town with a strong Russian presence.

NATO Must Be Ready to Respond

Braw urges NATO and its allies to seriously consider how they would react if Russia made a move on one of NATO’s most remote and vulnerable regions.

Citizens Can Send a Message Too

According to Braw, even everyday people can play a role – simply visiting Svalbard shows that the world is watching and that the territory matters.

Russia Wants to Be a Feared Neighbor

Norwegian defense professor Tormod Heier says Russia is sending a clear message: despite global pressure, it wants to be seen as a powerful, intimidating neighbor to Norway.

Could Trump Eye Svalbard Next?

Political scientist Tore Wig warns that Donald Trump, who is very interested in buying Greenland, might also set his sights on Svalbard.